Is CBK yield curve inverting signaling recession?
Short term bonds and bill rates are slowly rising above longer dated government papers setting the stage for what is called an inverted yield curve that is traditionally used to signal oncoming recession. Pressure to repay local loans have pushed short-term interest rates above 11 percent on the three, six and one-year Treasury Bills even as three short-term bonds costs rose above 14 percent. An inverted yield curve occurs when yields on shorter-dated Treasuries rise above those for longer-term ones suggesting that while investors expect interest rates to rise in the near term, they believe that higher borrowing costs will eventually hurt the economy. Analysts…
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